预计全球范围内的氟氯烃生产量和消费量将在未来数年内出现不加控制的大幅增长。
Global levels of HCFC production and consumption are anticipated to increase in an uncontrolled manner in future years.
根据技术和经济评估小组(技经评估组)的估算,2005-2015年时期内,第5条(发展中国家)缔约方的氟氯烃生产量和消费量将会出现不加控制的大幅增长。
According to the Technical and Economic Assessment Panel (TEAP) HCFC production and consumption will continue to grow uncontrolled in the period 2005-2015 in Article 5 (developing) Parties.
实际上,全球氟氯烃的生产量业已大幅超出了技经评估组1998年所作的、关于到 2015年时将增至163,000吨的预测。
In fact, the global production of HCFCs has greatly exceeded TEAP's 1998 prediction of 163,000 tonnes by 2015.
如果缔约方不能针对此种情况采取进一步行动,而且假设目前的增长率将持续下去的话,则到2015时,第5条国家的有控制的氟氯烃生产将很有可能超过每年700,000吨。
Without further action by the Parties, and assuming the current rate of increase, controlled HCFC production in Article 5 countries is likely to exceed 700,000 tonnes in 2015.
那些致力于采取各种控制措施—诸如按照分步削减时间表采取控制措施的第5条缔约方将可立即具备从《议定书》多边基金获得财政援助的资格。
Article 5 Parties that commit to control measures such as stepwise reduction schedules become immediately eligible for receiving financial assistance from the Multilateral Fond (MLF) of the Protocol.
鉴于将于2007年间最后确定多边基金下的一个三年期(2009—2011年)的职权范围,因此重要的是,应及时地针对第5条缔约方的氟氯烃生产和消费确定具体的控制时间表,以便使各方得以就拟用来协助这些缔约方遵守其所作承诺的资金的分配问题开展讨论。
As the terms of reference (ToR) of the MLF for the next triennium (2009-2011) are to be finalised in 2007, it is important that concrete control schedules on HCFC production and consumption in Article 5 Parties be timely adopted in order to enable deliberations on allocation of funds that will assist these Parties to comply with their commitments.
此项提案旨在加速逐步淘汰氟氯烃,从而防止因一切照旧的设想方案而可能产生的不利后果。
This proposal aims at accelerating the phasing-out of HCFCs and thus preventing the adverse consequences of a business as usual (BAU) scenario.
To achieve this, the proposal introduces control measures which target:
1) 非第5(1)条缔约方和第5(1)条缔约方的氟氯烃生产问题,以及
1) The production of HCFCs in non-Article 5(1) and Article 5(1) Parties and
2) 第5(1)条缔约方的氟氯烃消费问题。
2) The consumption of HCFCs in Article 5(1) Parties.
以下概要介绍目前在《蒙特利尔议定书》下针对氟氯烃规定的各项控制措施、以及此项提案的主要内容:
The current control measures on HCFCs under the Montreal Protocol, as well as the major elements of the proposal are outlined in the following:
目前在《蒙特利尔议定书》下规定的各项控制措施
Current control measures under the Montreal Protocol
氟氯烃的生产
Production of HCFCs
非第5(1)条缔约方: 于2004年把其生产量冻结在1989年基准量上;其后
Non-Article 5(1) Parties: Production freeze in 2004 at the base level of 1989 -
自2004年始,可无限期地按冻结数量生产氟氯烃;
Indefinite production at the level of freeze from 2004 onwards
生产数量最多可超过其基准数量的15%,用以满足缔约方的国内基本需要。
Production levels can be exceeded by up to 15% of the base level in order to satisfy the Basic Domestic Needs (BDN) of the Parties.
第5(1)条缔约方: 于2016年把其生产量冻结在2015年的基准量上;其后
Article 5(1) Parties: Production freeze in 2016 at the base level of 2015 -
自2016年始,可无限期地按冻结数量生产氟氯烃。
Indefinite production at the level of freeze from 2016 onwards
氟氯烃的消费
Consumption of HCFCs
非第5(1)条缔约方: 于1996年把其消费量冻结在1989年的基准量上。
Non-Article 5(1) Parties: Consumption freeze in 1996 at the base level of 1989.
随后分步骤进行削减:2004年(-35%);2010年(-65%);2015年(-90%);2020年(-99.5%)。
Steps down in: 2004 (-35%); 2010 (-65%); 2015 (-90%); and
2030年:全部终止。
2020 (-99.5%).
Phase-out in 2030.
第5(1)条缔约方: 于2016年把其消费量冻结在其2015年的基准量上;
Article 5(1) Parties: Consumption freeze in 2016 at the base level of 2015.
并于2040年全部终止。
Phase-out in 2040.
提案内容概要
Proposal outline